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UK NEWS

HOUSE PRICES WON’T CRASH

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BOOST: Experts believe market is 'robust'

Tuesday May 20,2008

By Sarah O’Grady Property Correspondent

HOME owners received a double dose of good news yesterday as experts dismissed predictions of a property crash – and Britain’s biggest mortgage lender cut its rates.

Despite doom-mongers’ gloomy forecasts, house prices remain up on last year with annual growth at 1.7 per cent last month.


The figure comes as Halifax announced it is to cut some mortgage rates by between 0.10 and 0.20 percentage points for existing customers, potentially saving them hundreds of pounds a year.


John Wriglesworth, housing economist at Wriglesworth Consultancy, said: “There is no sign of a property crash and never has been. Predic-tions otherwise have been grossly exaggerated. What we have seen is a small correction from a massive peak and there is very little chance of falling into an abyss.

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“What we need is for lenders to loosen the purse strings and that’s why the news from the Halifax is welcome.”


Halifax’s decision to slash rates on its three- and five-year fixed and tracker deals means customers looking to remortgage will now pay up to £200 a year less on an average £100,000 mortgage.


The cuts follow the lead of the Nationwide Building Society and Abbey, which reduced rates last week.


In further good news, the latest house price index – based on information from five major UK house value surveys – showed annual growth remained steady at 1.7 per cent last month.


Although, down from 3.6 per cent in March, the figure shows that house prices are still up on last April.


The typical house in the UK is now valued at £211,014, down from a high of £215,089 six months ago. But annually, the typical home owner would have seen the price of their home rise by £2,279 since April 2007.


Stuart Law, of Assetz House Price Index which carried out the research, said: “I am yet to see any firm evidence of a housing market crash. Values in this country have remained extremely robust in spite of the difficulties in the mortgage market.


“With announcements from some mortgage lenders that they are now reducing their rates, movement should return to the market and we should return to a degree of normality, perhaps as soon as September.”


Peter Bolton King, chief executive of the National Association of Estate Agents, also predicted an upturn in the market in the second half of the year.


He said: “There is no housing crisis, we have no credit crisis. If anything, we have only a crisis of confidence in the market.


“We just need a couple of good deals offered by lenders and people will start to borrow and buy again.” 


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STUART LAW???

03.06.08, 5:44pm

You have got to be the only paper to quote Stuart Law. He has lost all credibility by saying house prices are not falling. They have fallen for 8 months in a row. They never even did that in the 1990's crash. It was never more than 7 months in a row - go an look at the Halifax house price data.

Elsewhere Stuart Law talks about the land registry showing not such big falls and therefore it is the greedy banks, he know that the land registry follows a few months behind the Nationwide and Halifax indexes. This crash is going to be big!!

• Posted by: Nick2001Report Comment

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I AGREE, SO TRUE, GOT IT IN ONE

22.05.08, 12:45pm

Good on the Express, you've hit it spot on. I bumped into a man on the street this morning on the way to work and asked him what he thought of the housing market - he quite clearly told me that it was going to continue rising. I was so pleased I gave him an extra pound for the Big Issue he was selling.

So ... as the massively 'slashed' 0.1 percent in interest drop means I'll be 200 pounds better off it'll come in handy to pay for my increased petrol bill, holiday aircraft surcharges and the rice I buy which has doubled in price in the last year - oh and just in case I forget ... it'll come in handy to pay for the 2000 pound increase in re mortgaging costs.

• Posted by: CommonCentsReport Comment

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HOUSE PRICES WONT CRASH

20.05.08, 9:32pm

yet the common theme with the property pages is the word reduced- strange that, how can anyone say house prices wont crash unless they are clairvoyent!

• Posted by: seReport Comment

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THAT'S RIGHT EXPRESS...

20.05.08, 6:32pm

keep jerking that chain...

keep them insecure and guessing.

keep contradicting yourself!

• Posted by: crayfishbankerReport Comment

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SCRAPING THE BOTTOM OF THE BARREL

20.05.08, 6:24pm

The express is willing to wheel out anyone they can dub as an expert to claim the housing market is still buoyant. A headline which it seems to believe sells newspapers.

This week's "expert" is from Wigglesworth consultancy, a PR company whose clients include BTL lenders, mortgage brokers, estate agents, and property investment clubs. Groups could only be described as have a significant vested interest in boosting the property market.

A complete travesty of an article, even by tabloid standards.

• Posted by: lomaxReport Comment

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DOWN THEY GO.

20.05.08, 3:28pm

The final nail in the coffin of house prices is the fact that the banks themselves have finally realised that UK house prices are far too high and are a bad risk.
The banks are almost solely responsible for the price of houses, not builders, not estate agents, not vendors...but banks.
Once banks get nervous, there's only one way to go....down.
They dont want a crash, but a steady decline, so they are not damaged too much on the way.
But the banks are in a precarious position (as are so many homeowners). Old Merv King won't bail out the homeowners, just the wealthy bankers.
Our current house prices are laughable, but nobodys laughing.

• Posted by: stevewoReport Comment

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